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Present
State and Perspectives of Nomadism in a Globalizing World, August
2004
The Foreign Donor and NGO
Community’s Policies toward Pastoral Nomadism in Mongolia
in the Post-Socialist Era
Dr. Alicia Campi, U.S.-Mongolia Advisory Group
“… the virtual
collapse of the economic base of most provincial centres is resulting
in extreme spatial inequalities in economic development. Economic
growth has been highly concentrated to Ulaanbaatar and a few adjacent
centres, while most of the rest of the country is sliding back into
primitive subsistence animal husbandry. The geographic disintegration
of the economy and the increasing isolation of large parts of the
country and of the population pose a severe threat not only to long
term economic development, but also to territorial integrity and
to the long term survival of Mongolia as an integral, independent
and sovereign nation.”(Bruun, 1999)
This quote is a depressing view of the future of Mongolian pastoral
nomadism, yet it does represent the view that Mongolia is developing
into two distinct cultures, one urban and dynamic, and the other
rural and regressive. This is the viewpoint of many in the foreign
donor, NGO, and expert community. Such attitudes then impact negatively
on the development and execution of policies in the countryside.
This essay will analyze the type and quality of foreign assistance,
examine specific policies, and focus on positive achievements and
remaining challenges to truly improving the lives of Mongolia’s
nomadic herders.
The major goals of the foreign donor and
NGO community to assist Mongolia in its transformation from a socialist,
command economy to a democratic, free market society have remained
quite consistent in these last 14 years since the collapse of communism.
For example,
• The UNDP declares its funds for Mongolia will be used to
further 1) democratic governance, 2) economic transition and poverty
reduction, and 3) sustainable natural resource management. (UNDP
Website, “About UNDP Mongolia,” 2004) The UNDP website
proclaims “In its assistance programme for Mongolia, UNDP
is aiming to help Mongolia to ensure broad-based and sustainable
economic growth, equitable distribution of the fruits of development
and reduce poverty.” (UNDP Website, “Current Project-Poverty,”
2004)
• The Asian Development Bank (ADB) Country Strategy and Program
(CSP) consistently has emphasized “the promotion of economic
growth for job creation and provision of better essential social
services for the poor.” (ADB, 8 Sept. 2003)
• The U.S. Government’s AID strategy since the beginning
of the 1990s has been developed around the goals of establishing
a market-oriented and democratic society. “Two strategic objectives
have been identified: (a) The consolidation of Mongolia’s
democratic transition; and (b) the accelerated and broadened, environmentally
sound private sector growth.” (USAID Mongolia Country Strategic
Plan, 1999-2003) Even the new U.S. Millenium Challenge Account commencing
in 2004, which Mongolia has been designated as qualifying for, affirms
that “Country selection will be keyed to potential for economic
growth and poverty reduction” and aims to broaden development
partnership and partners in 1) good governance, 2) health and education,
and 3) open markets and entrepreneurship. (Brookings, “About
the Millenium Challenge Account,” 2004)
• The NGO, Mongolian Foundation for Open Society, on its website
explains that its Mongolian programs since 1966 have “the
aim to promote open societies by government policy and supporting
education, media, public health, and human and women’s rights,
…legal and economic reform.” (www.soros.org.mn, “Brief
Introduction,” 2004)
Mongolia has been heavily dependent on official
development assistance (ODA). In the 1990s 24% of the gross domestic
product (GDP) came from foreign aid. From 1991 to 2000 total ODA
was almost US$1.9 billion, an enormous amount of money for a country
of only 2.5 million people. (McKinley, 2001, pg. 135) In fact, Mongolia
is the 5th most aid dependent developing country in the world. Opinions
are numerous on the question of whether or not this money has been
used wisely. This paper will analyze the type and quality of foreign
and NGO assistance, examine specific policies, and focus on achievements
and the challenges to the goal of truly bettering the lives of the
nomads.
Such an analysis is important because it
is the rural sector which employs about 50% of the labor force—up
from 33% at the start of the democratic era. (Sundaram, 2000, pg.
17) Intimately tied to the traditional nomadic lifestyle, this sector’s
share of GDP grew from 30% in 1990 to 37% in 1998. This, despite
the total collapse of Mongolia’s domestic animal processing
industry, the irregular availability of traditional foreign markets
for its huge meat resources, serious reversal of rural primary and
secondary school attendance rates, devastating successive years
of droughts and winter disasters called dzuds, and numerous studies
documenting falling productivity and growing poverty among the migratory
herdsmen. (Griffin, 2001) Furthermore, despite the importance of
the agricultural livestock sector to the country, it has been nearly
ignored by the Mongolian Government, which has spent only 1.8% of
its budget on crop agriculture and livestock programs. (ADB, 2001-2002
Appendix 1-3, Table A3.1)
The many players in the international donor
and NGO community have urged the Mongolian Government consistently
during the years of transition to focus on economic development.
It is clear that the foreign donors have seen economic development
in the cities as the priority—“donors were reluctant
to allocate resources to rural development until Mongolia was hit
by the devasting dzud of 1999/2000. Support of herders was absent
from aid projects, even though previous reports…had highlighted
the problem. During the 1990s, only about five per cent of all ODA
was allocated to agricultural development (which includes livestock).”
(Griffin, 2001, pg. 137) In fact, the Mongolian Ih Hural in its
1996 Resolution on Concept of Development of Mongolia (a 15-20 year
perspective) said that Mongolia’s goal is to be an “Industrialised
Country with comparative independence and export-oriented economy
based on intelligence and new technology.” This emphasis on
science and technology for development is continued in the 1999
Mongolian Government Paper on Social Sector Issues and Strategies.
Its document on Medium-Term Economic and Social Development Strategy
1999-2000 states the four goals as: 1) privatization and land reform;
2) structural reform in the banking and financial sector, 3) infrastructure
reform including energy, roads, air, and rail, and 4) promotion
of export-oriented animal product industries, mining and tourism.
Finally, the 8 Mongolian Millenium Development Goals (MDGs) state
the overall priorities for the nation through 2015 are to reduce
poverty and foster democratic governance.
The Democratic Era since 1990
Economic activity in Mongolia for centuries
was based on migratory livestock breeding. One third of its GDP
during the last decades of the socialist era (1921-1990) came from
Soviet assistance, in the attempt to move the economy away from
nomadism and towards sedentary industrialization. In the mid-1950s,
over 90% of the population were rural herders, but by 1990 only
33% of employment was still in the livestock/agricultural sector.
Nomads with their herds were brutally collectivized in the 1930s,
but this campaign failed. The 2nd collectivization campaign in the
1950s succeeded, and private herding was nearly eliminated. Literacy
among the nomads was said to be (by the communist government) almost
100% in 1990. Small industrial cities were created in the 1960s
around mining operations and light industrial factories, but the
majority of these state enterprises soon went bankrupt or were privatized
in the first years of the 1990s, and population moved away.
The country moved into deep recession from
1992-1997 with collapse of the command economy, as the country eased
price controls, liberalized domestic and international trade, and
started the restructuring of the banking and energy sectors. People
had left the failing industrial cities and provincial (aimag) centers
to resume nomadic pastoralism or to move to the one functioning
city, the capital Ulaanbaatar. Herds were privatized in 1992-93,
and the rural population was immediately needed to provide food
to their impoverished urbanized fellow citizens. With NO influx
of foreign donor aid or Mongolian Government funds, livestock herds
almost doubled in numbers to around 34 million head by 1999. New
“cityboy nomads” moved to the countryside to take up
herding, particularly of cashmere goats, which were the most profitable,
because their hair easily found international markets, especially
in China. However, with consecutive dzuds for 3 years in 1999-2002,
4 million of head of livestock (especially goats) perished and agriculture’s
contribution to GDP declined significantly. Donor and NGO programs
and monies to assist people in the countryside stepped in where
the Mongolian Government did not. The re-absorption of so many unemployed
from the cities back into the countryside and into nomadic life
became a phenomenon that finally attracted the attention of the
foreign donor and NGO community, but only because the rural economy
is now blamed by UNDP experts for much of the poverty in the country.
In 2003 GDP per capita was $1,800. In 2002
20% of GDP came from the agricultural sector, 21% from industry,
and 58% from services. Mongolian population below the poverty line
was estimated in UNDP studies to be 36%, with no improvement in
the most recent 5 years. However, there was improvement in employment
numbers, and the national unemployment rate in 2001 was 4.6%.
The Positives:
The good news is that today the foreign donor
and NGO community recognizes to some extent the importance of the
rural sector to Mongolia’s development and the necessity of
making efforts to reform the sector, because it is the seat of serious
problems which impact on the whole nation’s future.
The UNDP and Government of Sweden issued
a 2003 study on the effectiveness of herd restocking strategies
on poverty alleviation. 3000 herding families in 7 aimags were given
thousands of livestock on credit to restock animals lost in 1999-2001
dzuds. One of the most important conclusions was that investment
needs to go beyond restocking, and into establishing a new animal
husbandry environment including marketing. (UNDP/SIDA, “Poverty
Research, Examination of Effectiveness,” 2003)
A second research report identified lifestock
issues related to trade and industry from raw materials to marketing
(via a survey of 1000 herders in 5 different regions—Zavhan,
Ovorkhangai, Khentii and Dornod, Omnogobi, and Selenge) This is
an excellent picture of nomadic economic life today. Among its conclusions
were: government support is necessary for savings and loans, and
cooperatives; herders need increased knowledge to adapt to weather
and market changes for the sake of profit and to eliminate the mentality
that their losses from natural disasters will be solved by outsiders;
herders’ income is low because of current few inadequate channels
for selling raw materials; and that the sums’ development
must follow diverse models not just one model, so local government
can be more responsive to herders. (UNDP/SIDA, “Poverty Research,
Options,” 2004)
However, the second study conflicts with the earlier analysis on
what constitutes a “successful herder.” The 2003 study
cites Professor A. Bakey’s contention that a herding household
must have 300 animals to move into a profitable business (pg. 22),
whereas in the 2004 report, surveys suggest a wealthy family had
over 51 animals (pg. 31). It appears likely that regional differences
and kinds of livestock are more important than actual livestock
numbers.
One of the most exciting new rural projects is the UNDP/Government
of Netherland’s project on “Sustainable Grassland Management.”
(UNDP, MON/02/301/A/01/99, 2002) The project’s long-term perspective
is “how to rebalance pasture and grazing animals in space
and time, in order to increase livestock productivity and herder
well-being,” since the sponsors believe the extensive [nomadic]
livestock economy has a key role to play in Mongolia’s medium
term economy. (UNDP, MON/02/301/A/01/99, 2002, pg. 5) It will run
for 5 years, 2003-2007, budgeted for a total of over US$3.1 million
(of which only $200,000 is from UNDP). The target group is herding
households at the sum or bag level in three of the five major ecological
regions of the country, e.g. Khangai/Khubsgol, Selenge/Onon, Altai,
Central/Eastern steppe, and Gobi. Project work will be concentrated
on: 1) institution-building and pasture management with herding
communities of 10-30 households; 2) supporting the creation of a
bag executive co-management committee to co-ordinate grazing plans
and resolve disputes; 3) prepare land use plans at the sum level.
(UNDP, MON/02/301/A/01/99, 2002, pp. 11-12) In August 2003 a semi-annual
progress report (UNDP, “Sustainable Grassland,” 2003)
was issued on the project start-up, noting that a workshop for 9
sums was conducted in Karakorum to brief the project sums on the
plan and for the project staff to learn about local problems; and
trainings of herders in Bayanhongor and Ovorhangai were organized.
This project is the successor to a study
funded by the Government of New Zealand and the UNDP in 2002 on
“Developing and Piloting a Sustainable Development Model for
the Extensive Livestock Industry.” (Morton, 2002) One of the
major premises of that project was that it should strengthen customary
communities, involving kinship relations but not kinship-based rather
locality-based. Three sites were chosen in Erdene sum in Tov Aimag,
Bayanonder sum in Ovorkhangai Aimag, and Baatsaagan sum in Bayanhongor
Aimag, because the pilot sought to cover the main agro-ecological
zones in Mongolia. The herders were seeking new modes of collaboration
different from compulsory collectivism of the negdel period and
individualism of the transition years, and experimented with registering
herding groups as NGOs. Groups consisted of poor, middle, and wealthy
herders, and were offered loans for fodder and veterinary drugs.
The major objective of the pilot project was the recognition “of
existing possession and use rights of herders over pastoral resources
by registering them.” (Morton, 2002, pp. 20-21) Possession
rights were granted by the sum governor for 60 years, according
to a contract under the powers of the Land Law of 1994. The project
considered one of its most important achievements that it demonstrated
such contracts could be drawn up by making the herders’ groups
legal NGO entities. (Morton, 2002, pp. 21)
Herdsmen felt such contracts enabled them
to protect their winter grazing, but it was found that there was
a need for training herders in pasture management, since so many
were new to nomadism. The pasture possession rights contracts in
the pilot project raised several long-term issues: What were the
implications of the new Land Law? How are communities receiving
possession rights defined? What are possession rights for winter/spring
versus four-season periods? Can contracts in the case of dzud be
overridden? What is the duration of the rights? How is inheritance
of NGO herder membership to be handled? (Morton, 2002, pg. 22) In
Lessons Learnt and Recommendations, the pilot project recommended
the successor projects be of 5 years duration not 18-months; community
development should be phased in before formally incorporating the
NGO, and only then introduce grants and funds; the project should
avoid imposing special mechanisms for poor herders, which were disliked
and could weaken mutual support; be more receptive to women herders’
suggestions for loans for vegetable production and sewing; fodder
funds should be a major activity of the project on the basis of
a revolving fund. Finally, the pilot project saw the need to work
closely with sum governments to develop contract forms for possession
rights, learn land-use mapping, and strengthen information sharing
among herding groups, sum, and aimag authorities. (Morton, 2002,
pg. 34) It appears clear that these suggestions were all incorporated
into the succeeding UNDP/Government of Netherlands’ “Sustainable
Grasslands Management” project.
The UNDP and World Bank have advised the
Mongolian Government in its National Poverty Alleviation Programme
to look at ways to help rural and urban households establish small
businesses within the market economy. The NPAP has a decentralized
organization structure with poverty alleviation councils at the
sum level with local labor and women’s organizations to provide
imput. $19 million (1994-2000) has been contributed by 16 different
donors. (Mongolia Independent Evaluation of NPAP, 1999) The World
Bank support includes pastoral risk management, micro-finance outreach,
a community investment fund, and renovation of rural schools and
hospitals. Among the projects are preparation of sum land use maps,
revolving herder community risk funds, hay and fodder development
and management, micro-finance for herders, emergency restocking
of livestock , and even livestock loss insurance. (Morton, 2002,
pg. 7 and World Bank representative, 15 July 2004)
The ADB has begun implementation of the Agriculture
Sector Development Program with loans totaling US$17 million. Policy
objectives include promoting competitive markets for agricultural
goods, improving rural financial services, and increasing productivity
in extensive livestock production. It established a Green Revolution
Program working with the Ministry of Agriculture and small Mongolian
NGOs, such as The Horticultural Society (its budget of $20,000 over
3 years worked on expanding family-based micro-businesses especially
vegetable growing into rural settlements because of Soros Open Society
funds, but the Society did not receive any ADB money nor did any
other small NGO). The Agricultural Program also has a US$700,000
technical assistance package to provide training for cooperatives
and facilitate more sustainable pasture management at the sum and
aimag level. (Morton, 2002, pg. 6)
The International Fund for Agricultural Development
(IFAD) has designed a 6-year rural poverty alleviation project for
Arhangai, Khubsgol, Bulgan, and Khentii aimags for a cost of US$16.6
million. The multi-faceted project will seek to improve livestock
and range management by integrating herder camps into groups at
the bag level, prepare resource maps with seasonal pastures and
hay fields market, issue possession certificates, restore wells,
assist with hay production, rehabilitate veterinary laboratories,
set up a dzud emergency fund, and lend money to herders. (Morton,
2002, pp. 6-7)
The USAID program since the middle-1990s
has recognized the importance of establishing the foundation for
an effective rural civil society, with projects directed towards
road building and environmental protection/biodiversity. Its Gobi
Regional Economic Growth Initiative, managed by Mercy Corps, has
a new four-year, US$18 million project to help herders in Dundgobi,
Zavhan, Ovorhungai, Uvs, Arkhangai, Bayanhongor, Tuv, Khubsgol,
and Gobisumber to increase herder productivity, improve veterinary
servies, establish revolving fodder funds, improve management of
water sources and supply, increase credit to herders, and stimulate
the creation of new rural businesses. (Morton, 2002, pg. 8) The
U.S. Peace Corps moved quickly into aimag capitals and other rural
communities to provide community development and English training.
The British Council’s English language
program in the secondary schools also was nationwide in its scope.
Demand for restocking led to the UK pilot restocking project implemented
by SCF/UK. TACIS, funded by the European Union (Euro 2.9 million),
has been active in the extensive livestock sector in the eastern,
western, and central regions, although its emphasis has been integrating
animal production more efficiently into crop farms. It also is working
to promote meat exports and improve dairy, wool, and cashmere production
and processing. (Morton, 2002, pg. 8)
FAO has funded two projects in the livestock
sector. One on “Pastoral Risk Management Strategy” with
US$282,000 in funding is to improve the livelihoods and food security
of pastoral herders, and do disaster management planning. (FAO,
TCP/MON/0066 A) The second project, “Provision of Animal Health
Inputs and Animal Feed to Assist the Restoring of Severely-Affected
Households in Snowstorm-Affected Areas” (US$400,000) is a
dzud emergency restocking plan. (FAO, TCP/MON/00067 E)
The International Development Research Centre
has begun an environmental research project on “Sustainable
Management of Common Natural Resources in Mongolia.” It aims
at the community level to study three selected ecosystems, develop
with herder groups management options, and conduct pilot projects
with the herders. (Morton, 2002, pp. 8-9)
This record is a great improvement, especially
if compared to the beginning years of Mongolia’s transition,
when basic knowledge and recognition of the rural sector’s
debilitated conditions after 70 years of mismanagement and attack
were not recognized at all by the foreign donor community. This
is evidenced by the IMF April 1991 study by Milne et al called “The
Mongolian People’s Republic—Toward a Market Economy.”
This report noted that Ulaanbaatar in 1989 held one-fourth of the
nation’s then 2.1 million population, Mongolian industry was
concentrated in processing of livestock by-products employing 20%
of the labor force in various industrial cities, while agriculturalists
(both crop and livestock) workers represented 29%. Its “Medium-term
Path of Reform” section made no mention of a rural sector
with the special features of a barter economy. The importance of
the woolen textiles, hides, leather, coats, and processed and live
animal light industries (which almost do not exist today in Mongolia)
are evidenced not by analysis, but through carefully examining the
accompanying export product charts.
In those early years, foreign donor multi-lateral
and bilateral assistance, including the vast majority of USAID,
Japanese assistance and ADB funds, was poured into staving off constant
winter heating and electricity crises by keeping Ulaanbaatar’s
power plants running, providing emergency food aid to the urban
communities, and making minimal renovations to the capital airport—which
gobbled up hundreds of millions of dollars. The donors supported
democracy and NGO building capacity programs to promote legal, constitutional,
and administrative reforms, within the capital.
The one good thing during the early period
was that the livestock cooperatives (negdels) were the first to
be dismantled and herds were privatized. At least the Mongolian
Government and the foreign donor community did not delay this process.
However, this occurred not because these actors wanted to give special
assistance to the rural population. Rather, it was done first because
privatizing this sector seemed easier than dismantling the socialist-era
bankrupt state industrial enterprises.
Bottom line: Mongolia after 14 years of massive
foreign donor aid is a stable, if unpredictable, democratic country
that has had 5 successful nationwide democratic elections. It has
brought its early 1990s’ 325% inflation rate down to single
digits in the 21st Century, and increased its per capita annual
income from under $600 to $1800. Despite poverty it can and usually
does feed its own population, and rural Mongolia has benefited in
many ways from these accomplishments. Herds are up about 30% from
the socialist era with an 180% increase in herders. The banking
system and the monetary economy have been extended to the countryside,
and herder income and access to consumer goods are substantially
greater. The Agricultural Bank has been giving herders loans since
August 2001. As of March 2003 8.7% of all Agricultural Bank’s
loans were to herders (UNDP, “Options”, 2004, pg. 51),
even though such loan delivery has met only 4-8% of the demand (UNDP,
“Options”, pg. 50) In summary, nomadic life which was
dying in Mongolia in the 1980s, has revived considerably during
the democratic era.
Challenges:
1. Longstanding antagonism towards nomadism
and ignorance about Mongolia’s rural ecology, epitomized by
the call for Mongolia to adopt ranching. There is an unspoken and
spoken assumption among 20th century economists, foreign donor experts,
and even members of the Mongolian Government that Mongol nomads
can be made into ranchers. Even the great Mongolist Owen Lattimore
in 1940 accepted this idealized version of Mongolian economic life.
(“Mobility is no longer sovereign; the economy remains basically
pastoral but the society need no longer be nomadic.” Lattimore,
1980 [1940], pg. 68) In 2000 the UNDP funded report “Medium-Term
Economic and Social Development Strategy, Options Post 2000 NPAP”
recommends “the feasibility and desirability of moving towards
a ranch-like organization structure for livestock production and
reorganization of large-scale crop production businesses into medium-sized
family farms.” UNDP Resident Representative Menon and Prime
Minister Enkhbayar often have expressed the same views.
Yet, a move to ranching cannot be supported
by the Mongolian environment with its sparse vegetation. Nomadism
can only be abandoned if Mongol herdsmen move from grazing cattle
to fodder-fed stock. Then the overwhelming and so-far unanswerable
question becomes how can sufficient fodder be grown in a climate
so hostile to normal agriculture, always remembering that today
Mongolia has less than 1% of its land under cultivation. Now is
the time the environmental scientists and biologists to stand up
and explain the ecological facts to the foreign donors and Mongolian
policymakers, or show us how a “ranching” model will
work and be sustainable. Even the UNDP’s continued use of
the term “extensive” livestock economy, instead of nomadism,
is an indication of the refusal to accept the economic lifestyle
which is supporting the herders’ traditional cultural and
tradition. The time for theorizing or dreaming by the foreign and
Mongol economists is long past—good livestock raising development
policies must be based on reality.
2. Association of livestock raising and the nomadic lifestyle with
failure. Many in the foreign donor and NGO community have forgotten,
or never understood, how the rural herders SAVED the Mongolian urban
people from starvation during the early 1990s when the command economy
collapsed, inflation was rampant, and consumables were non-existent
or prohibitively expensive. During those years Mongolians did not
starve. Their country cousins fed their fellow citizens. The unemployed
from the bankrupt state factories and farms in urban areas did not
riot. They had the option of returning to the kind of economic activity
that is most suitable for the Mongolian environment—migratory
livestock raising. The rural sector was a great, totally free escape
valve that prevented real social unrest and solved the most basic
need of man—food.
This point of view is supported by Kevin
Chang in his analysis of Mongolia’s transition. He noted that
neither education nor employment made a major contribution to Mongolia’s
economic growth, but livestock raising was “a principal engine
of Mongolia’s quick recovery during the second half of the
1990s, although its share in GDP has been declining since 1999.”
(Chang, 2003, pg. 4, 10)
However, today the foreign donor agencies
such as the UNDP denigrate this contribution and in fact see the
return of Mongols to the countryside as a failure: “As a result
of the collapse of employment opportunities in the aimag and sum
centres, the number of herders and animals grew during the first
half of the 1990s.” “The absence of alternative livelihood
opportunities means that dependence on the livestock economy will
continue especially for the poorest.” (UNDP Website, Menon,
“Strengthening,” 3.31.2003)
The elasticity of the rural sector to accept
quickly tens of thousands of new workers has been criticized by
studies such as Keith Griffin’s Poverty Reduction in Mongolia
(2001) for the UNDP. He emphasizes the lowering of productivity
among the herders because the animals only increased 30% while the
number of people increased 183% in one decade. While the math is
correct, the assumptions are not. What was the better alternative—for
Mongols to sit idle and hungry in the cities?
Many of the foreign donor agencies actually
are hostile to rural life and see Mongolia’s rural sector
with its different culture and simpler way of living as intrinsically
backward and poor. Settled life and industrial work are seen as
“modern” and “good”. The July 2001 UNDP
“Integrating Poverty Reduction Study” “suggests
that recovery and development of the industrial sector is the key
to employment, broad based growth and poverty reduction.”
(UNDP Website, Menon, 11.26.2002) Even the refusal by many experts
to use the term “nomadism”, preferring “extensive
livestock raising” (ADB, Audit Report, Nov. 2002) is a conscious
denial of the existence and viability of the nomadic lifestyle,
which only increases the foreign donors misperceptions about rural
life.
The assumption is that migratory herders
do not want to live that way if they had other choices. Lack of
knowledge about migratory societies and Mongolia’s own experience
with sedentarization is behind these notions. It would be beneficial
if foreign advisers and NGO workers would read the works of Mongolian
anthropologists and researchers of nomadic societies such as Carl
Philip Saltzman to gain a better understanding and respect for the
nomadic mentality. (Saltzman, 1980)
3. Rural poverty is caused by too many herders,
who degrade pastureland, and by severe dzuds. The NPAP was established
in 1994 to reduce the 26.5% poor to 10% or less by 2000. In the
NPAP’s original set of goals, specifically helping nomads
or herders never was mentioned. (Batkin, Independent Evaluation
of NPAP, 1999, pp 65-6) Mid-term evaluation in December 1996 corrected
this deficit with major emphasis on alleviating rural poverty. The
revised goals called for development of small and medium enterprises
for processing agricultural products and market animal products,
policy reform regarding land tenure, and support for herders’
organizations, and restocking poor families’ livestock. However,
from the $19 million collected by the World Bank for these purposes,
by 1999 only $11.1 million or 59% of the funds were distributed
among only 36,400 households (19% of the estimated 192,000 poor
households in the country. (Batkin, Evaluation of NPAP, 1999, pg.
46, 53) It is not clear how many off these 36,400 households were
nomadic, but at least 21,000 or 60% of the households were paid
for construction projects not involving herders. This means very
little of the NPAP money could have reached the herders. In fact,
the herder restocking fund of $125,866 out of the $11.1 million
spent represents a mere 1% of all the poverty funds..
In its March 24, 2000 Partnership Agreement
between the Government of Mongolia and the ADB, its 2000-2005 strategy
was based on the fact that “poverty is mainly found in urban
areas.” (Point 8) This Agreement’s measurement benchmarks
in the areas of poverty, human development, and economic conditions
never mention herders, nomads or the livestock industry at all.
Nevertheless, economic studies in the last several years indicate
that instead of decreasing poverty after almost 9 years of the NPAP,
poverty has not decreased but increased to 36% of the Mongol population,
(UNDP, Menon, 11.26, 2002; Griffin, 2001), and suddenly the herders
and the dzuds are scapegoated for the increase.
The UNDP therefore has called for more effective
Government intervention in the economy. For example, Griffin recommends
the return to livestock collective farms (seemingly unaware or unconcerned
by the sad history of forced collectivization endured by the Mongols).
The UNDP conducted a Lessons Learnt exercise after the 1999-2001
winter dzuds when more than 4 million animals were lost. The study
found a major problem was the lack of preparedness and that much
of the assistance ($8.23 million in 1999-2000 and $24 million in
2000-2001) came too late. It recommended longer term strategies
to revitalize the economy of the countryside and worried about the
psychological effect, poor rural nutrition, and negative school
attendance of dzuds. However, to my knowledge the historical studies
on the repetitive nature of dzuds, as a factor in the calculation
of livestock breeders in Central Asia, much like US farmers in the
Midwest must contend with drought, have not even been planned for
by the foreign donor advisors. (LeGrand, 2001)
To be sure, it is important to research the
stresses on the carrying capacity of the steppe land made by the
successful privatization of herds and entrance of new nomads from
the city who are uneducated in the migratory life-cycle. While desertification
and over-grazing are real problems in the countryside, there is
ample evidence that the inappropriate socialist-style crop farming
agricultural techniques and regional water supply issues have caused
just as great negative impacts. Some scholars even maintain much
pastureland actually is underused (Janzen 2001, pg. 236) or not
over-grazed (Griffin, 2001, pg. 68)
What we do know after looking at the UNDP
sponsored “Living Standards Measurement Survey 1998”
is that rural unemployment is the lowest in Mongolia at less than
5%. In fact, the UNDP/SIDA in 2004 concluded that Mongol herders
roughly could be dived into rich (20%), middle-income (40%), and
poor (40%) (UNDP/SIDA, 2004, pg. 16) The highest rates are in the
aimag centres (31.7%) and in Ulaanbaatar (28.5%). Sundaram concludes
that when examining the data between “not poor” and
“poor” in rural areas, the distinction is not based
on education, while in urban areas, especially Ulaanbaatar, education
is the key factor.
This then is the likely explanation for the
great concern among donor groups regarding falling school attendance
in rural areas. As a social good, a literate informed electorate
has been presumed “a good” to be striven for. Even favorable
studies on nomadism in Mongolia seek to “eliminate cultural
backwardness of the herders.” (UNDP/SIDA, “Herd Restocking,”2003,
pg. 77) Yet, it is clear that formal education, at least as it is
now constituted in Mongolia, is not connected to the economic success
or failure as a migratory herder.
4. The creation of 2 Mongolian cultures and
the efficacy of foreign donor and foreign NGO assistance to the
rural sector. Posted on the UNDP website is the report that the
gap between rural and urban economy in Mongolia is increasing dramatically.
UN Representative Menon has commented that in the “Mongolia’s
Human Development Report 2003,” “The focus of this report
is on the growing disparities between urban and rural Mongolia,
especially between Ulaanbaatar and the rest of the country.”
This author also has written on the subject of the creation of 2
cultures—one urban and one nomadic for over five years (Campi,
)However, if this gap is indeed growing, then the key issue for
us is whether the donor community and its programs are meeting the
goals of its envisaged strategy of development, or are they, in
fact, contributing to the emergence of the two distinct cultures
and widening the gap?
This is a very complex issue which deserves
greater discussion; however, my desire is to just conclude my remarks
with a few observations:
A. If the Mongolian Government and foreign donors are concerned
about the emergence of two cultures (urban and rural) in Mongolia,
why are funds so overwhelmingly distributed to the capital? Even
in projects that supposedly are for rural development, because they
include setting up Ulaanbaatar training or distribution centers
or are distributed to Ulaanbaatar government or Ulaanbaatar-based
NGO entities, funds which actually get out to the provinces are
very small. For example, Mongolian Foundation for Open Society has
several program categories which claim to include rural development
programs. However, in 2002 of the $1,266,000 in grants, $1,159,000
was given to Ulaanbaatar-based organizations (mostly NGOS). Actual
monies to each province are delineated and these amount to only
10% of the year’s budget.
Similar questions could be asked of the U.S.
Government. Since one of its main programs in the last few years
in the rural area has been improving the management of natural resources
around Lake Khubsgul, why has it dropped its promised support for
constructing a new road from Moren up to Khubsgol with a cheaper,
non-polluting asphalt substitute? The economy of that region cannot
measurably improve if tourism and local industry are not facilitated
by improving the miserable roads. Certainly erosion will be worsened
by the continued neglect.
B. This then leads into the concept of the
Millenium Road. In general, foreign donor organizations are not
enthusiastic about this idea to create an east-west road to link
the capital with the aimag centers. Their interest lies on a north-south
route through Ulaanbaatar to the Chinese border. Yet, if an east-west
road is not made, how can local industry prosper and why would people
stay in decaying countryside cities? We cannot continue to bemoan
the concentration of people in Ulaanbaatar, which is now more than
one-third of the nation’s population, but do little to enrich
or create infrastructure and communications throughout the country.
Studies indicate that Mongolian animal by-products are not being
processed and sold into foreign markets because of lack of modern
sanitary production and transport difficulties. Aimag financial
projects of $4000 or $8000 such as World Bank seed money, will not
result in the construction of any modern slaughterhouse or leather
factory to rectify this situation. To expect foreign investment
to do this with no roads and local infrastructure is not realistic.
Such investment is possible in mining where returns can be enormous,
but for regional processing factories which truly create more technically-based
employment opportunities, substantial foreign investment in the
mid-term will be minimal. Even the concept of reasonably-priced
mobile slaughterhouses, which would solve the sanitation and transport
problems and be available to go to dzud areas to exploit in a positive
way animal loss, has not found funding despite years of discussion
with TACIS and the Mongolian Government.
C After years of talking about the failure
of the public educational system to be responsive to the needs of
nomadic children, why has there been no change in curriculum? UNDP
and foreign donor and NGO organizations have for several years known
about the falling school attendance rates in the countryside. Reactions
to this growing problem have been to put money into fixing rural
school infrastructure and some teacher training. Yet, despite much
advice, real reform of the vocational school centers and curriculum
reform to reflect the needs and interests of herders have been ignored.
In fact, only one aimag even includes the “herdsman”
study area in its Vocational Training School curriculum. Why does
vocational education have to begin in the 9 and 10th grades, as
in socialist times? Why shouldn’t it be placed in elementary
school curricula as an inducement for parents to keep their children
in school?
In a December 1996 UNDP/GOM NPAP Evaluation
Mission Team Report noted the demand for training in rural areas,
which was repeated by the 1999 Evaluation’s (pg. 21) conclusion
to train rural people in animal product processing. Income Generation
Funds in 1998 and 1999 were focused on cities, aimag and sum centers,
and not available to herders, which even World Bank experts saw
as shortsighted (Balkin, NPAP Evaluation, 1999, pg. 20). Again,
such gaps in education were noted by the UNDP’s own study
by Sundaram, but the pattern of placing funds into modernizing Ulaanbaatar’s
educational facilities continues. Even Sudaram’s recommendations
on vocational teaching reforms are inconsistent. He speaks of costs
in education following economies of scale and recommends not placing
modernized training facilities in every aimag but doing this regionally.
Following this suggestion, however, then will inevitably lead to
some aimag capitals benefiting while others fall further behind,
thus furthering the lack of balance in national rural-urban culture
and economics.
D. The ever continuing problem of corruption
or high administrative costs. In the UNDP’s Urban Poverty
Pilot Project, one of the major findings was that outreach by international
projects and programs “has been relatively ineffective.”
Many of the poor do not know about the existence of the programs
or cannot access them. One can organize all the local district groups,
but if the money disappears into the Ministries such as the ADB’s
$1.5 million Green Revolution horticultural money did into the Ministry
of Agriculture over several years, and is not dispensed, then building
local capacity will have limited effect. Furthermore, the more money
spent on relieving Ulaanbaatar poverty, the more the poor will be
attracted to the city and the greater the drain on the other cities
in Mongolia.
Some of the agricultural policies implemented
by the foreign donor community and the Government of Mongolia have
been wasteful or even failures. Recent UNDP studies have rightly
concluded that simply restocking herds without improving the quality
and marketability of the animals and their by-products is not a
successful, sustainable strategy. The most shocking example of mismanagement
of agricultural funds is buried within the ADB’s Program Performance
Audit of its 1995-1998 $35 million (ASP) agricultural loan (ADB,
Audit Report, 2002). First, there is no actual statistical breakdown
of how the funds were spent on its 5 major loans or of the ADB administration
costs. The report conceals the depth of the failure of the whole
program by using generalized terms to rate the success of the 31
policy measures under 10 policy objectives. Since financial data
is non-existent, it is impossible to verify if a specific program
really is ‘successful’, ‘partly successful’,
or the extent of any ‘failure’.
However, the text of the Audit Report clearly
indicates: “The objectives of ensuring the sustainability
of the extensive livestock and establishing agricultural extension
systems were not achieved,” and “reforms to revitalize
agricultural financing and to reduce government interventions in
the state emergency fodder reserve failed.” (pg. 1 Executive
Summary) The entire whet farming support program, which appears
to be the main focus of spending failed totally. Hidden in the analysis
is grudging admission that no prior research was ever conducted
by the ADB on the difficulties of sustaining wheat growing in the
hostile Mongol environment, as wrongly developed in the socialist
era.
What little is said about the nomadic livestock
portion of the Agricultural Project is very disheartening. Only
3 of the 31 policy measures were related to the herders, and no
Strategy for development was ever adopted by the Mongolian Government.
To exemplify the lack of substance and honesty in the ADB Audit
Report, there is the designation of the one extensive livestock-related
policy measure as being “partly accomplished.” However,
all that resulted was the formulation of an action plan calling
for $7.8 million for short-term (1998-1999) and $15.5 million for
medium-term (2000-2002) measures. This action plan was not adopted
by the Mongol Government, yet the Audit Report deemed this measure
“partly successful”! (pg. 6)
Conclusion
I have purposefully labeled the inconsistencies
within the foreign donor and foreign NGO programs as challenges
not problems. It is exciting to find new ideas for rural development,
such as the yak dairy concept of The Mountain Institute of Washington,
DC, alternative sealant products being used for rural road development,
micro-enterprises for agriculture in gers, and rough-terrain small
mobile slaughterhouses from ATL of England/Sweden, planned for Mongolia.
All of the institutions including the Mongolian Government working
on development issues want to promote appropriate policies to enhance
the life of Mongolians. To successfully do this, we need to better
inform ourselves about actual rural conditions and be open to creative
solutions which may in fact challenge our preconceived ideas. It
is not acceptable to hide behind code words for development to try
to destroy Mongolia’s nomadic economy and life. This does
not mean this sector of the population is to live in perpetual poverty
or illiteracy. Rather, it means that all the policymakers and foreign
donor and NGO organizations must accept the sustainability of Mongolia’s
nomadic economy in order to assist it to become more successful
and profitable, not with the aim to destroy it.

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